Hes never pitched for a World Series champion, and his career postseason statistics wont help him hes 2-8 with a 5.54 ERA, and hes gotten completely shelled on multiple occasions. Wins may not matter as much these days, but his 195 wins would make him just the seventh player to be inducted as a starting pitcher with fewer than 200 victories. Likewise, his 42.4 bWAR is lower than the likes of Javier Vazquez, Al Leiter, and Frank Viola. Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright reaches 2,000 career strikeouts Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. Hes undergone Tommy John surgery, and his career total of 76 wins is underwhelming. Adam Wainwright biography. Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. Adam Wainwright - Taddlr Unless Adam Wainwright continues to play for a few more seasons and perform at an elite level, the Hall of Fame may elude him, though he will certainly find his name on the voting ballot when eligible. Are there baseball seasons good enough to get Adam Wainwright past Dwight Gooden? However, their overall record forced the Cards to play a Wild Card series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies. The bad news is that hell finish his age-35 season still short of 1,200 hits (hes at 1,156), meaning that hed have to average at least 160 a total he hasnt reached since 2016 through his age-40 season just to reach the all-important 2,000. . {* backButton *} Wainwright is absolutely not going to make it to Cooperstown, and the numbers say he shouldn't, but you can squint and you can cherry-pick statistics to make an argument for Wainwright if you enter with an agenda. Adam Wainwright was glad to see Jason Isringhausen enter the Cardinals Hall of Fame: "He had a profound impact on my career and helped me dramatically." FASTBALLS JET ACROSS the baseball atmosphere in this era, booming into catchers' mitts at 100 mph or faster, and amid that sound of speed, there is Adam Wainwright's curveball. It just was not the type of career that was worthy of the Hall of Fame. Carlos Correa, Shortstop(32.7 Career WAR | 32.7 7-Year Peak WAR | 32.7 JAWS, +6.7 JAWS) Between some favorable changes to his DRS totals and an AL-leading 5.9 WAR (surpassed by Ohtani's two-way total of 7.7), the 26-year-old Correa has boosted his JAWS more than any position player. Let's take a look at Flaherty. He has similar numbers (albeit slightly worse) than Roy Halladay. Please contact us. The five St. Louis Cardinals who already have Hall of Fame resums What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame induction? Flaherty is calm. We always prefer to go the surgery route as the last possible resort. He was hit hard four balls hit off him registered exit velocities higher than 104 mph, including a 112.1 mph solo moonshot of a homer off the bat of Jos Abreu. Its early in spring training. pre-2008 adjustment) | 39.5 Peak fWAR | 48.8 fJAWS, +0.3 fJAWS). Still, just one top-10 Cy Young award finish wont get him in the Hall of Fame. Terms of Service. Thats an average of 174 innings per year. This may not seem particularly grandiose, and probably not even close to Cooperstown worthiness, but it should be noted that with sixty-five elected, starting pitcher is far and away the most commonly enshrined position in the Hall (it has also, pre-bullpen expansion, been the most common position, so this shouldnt be too surprising). Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. 2020 has given us many poor and distasteful things, but it's giving me a glimpse into the future for some wild reason. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) Adam Wainwright was one of many players lucky enough to have shared a clubhouse with Scott Rolen, the newest member of the Baseball Hall of Fame.. It is not as though a 6.4 WAR season alone would do the trickwhile this would put Wainwright over 50 bWAR and at 56.4 fWAR (assuming he hit 6.4 on both metrics), the impact on Wainwrights peak would be much smaller, since he was reasonably good in his seventh best season under both metrics (3.0 bWAR, 3.9 fWAR). While Drew was a fine player throughout his career, he would only spend the 2004 season with the Braves. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. Gerrit Cole (117 wins at age 31) and Chris Sale (114 wins at age 32) are the likeliest active pitchers to approach Wainwrights total. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick. An Alternate Hall of Fame populated by a mathematical formula. Wainwright could become the sixth to add the Hall of Fame to their resume. In the spirit of giving my readers what they want, heres a lightning round, where Ill keep things uncharacteristically brief. During the 2022 regular season, 'Waino' finished with a record of 11-12 and 3.71 ERA in 191.2 innings, while also racking up 143 strikeouts. He threw two no-hitters in the same season and tied the major league record with 20 strikeouts in a nine-inning game. 177-110, 3.51 ERA, 2,272 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. After suffering a setback around the trade deadline, he only returned to throwing on August 25; the Mets are holding out hope that the 33-year-old righty can rejoin them by mid-September. Press Box: Wainwright to decide if he can continue to beat foes as well Sales efficiency numbers are superb he has a 2.99 career ERA, a 1.054 WHIP, a 4.96 K:BB ratio, and hes working on five straight All-Star trips. Greinke has won an ERA title in each league. It is possible that he ends up as one of those players who hangs around the ballot for his decade of eligibility, getting a boost because of his time in St. Loius, but the only way he ends up in Cooperstown will be with a ticket. He is known for being a Baseball Player. The 40-year . MILWAUKEE Adam Wainwright joins Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals' pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Urias in the fourth inning. Scherzer and Hernandez are among a group of pitchers at somewhat similar points in their potential Hall of Fame paths; Verlander, Cole Hamels, Zack Greinke, Adam Wainwright and Jon Lester are in . By checking this box, I agree to the terms of service and privacy policy of Rogers Media. Opinion | Is Wainright a hall of famer? | ksdk.com No Gavin Lux -- big problem. Is Adam Wainwright in the Hall of Fame? Sabathia has a chance to become the 17th pitcher in history to record 3,000 strikeouts, which would give his candidacy a boost. He has a $217 million contract with the Boston Red Sox, and to make the Hall of Fame, he may need another Cy Young award and a dominant performance in a World Series championship. Even so, five catchers including the younger and still-productive Buster Posey outrank him in the framing-inclusive version of my metric, and with an 80 wRC+ and 0.7 fWAR this year, plus plans to retire after 2022, he might not even catch Russell Martin (49.1) or Joe Mauer (49.3) in the rankings. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Perhaps (I would argue this is more likely) a new narrative arc would emergeWainwright, say, grits through physical pain to guide the Cardinals to the 2022 World Series and enters a level of folklore which allows voters to look optimistically upon his borderline statistical case (see: Ortiz, David). That's an average of 174 innings per year. Hall of Very Good. Flaherty insists hes feeling great this spring. Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. Injury? At least not for starting pitchers. If he can maintain this kind of dominance for a few more years, hell get to Cooperstown. When he calls it a career, Wainwright won't be a serious contender for baseball's Hall of Fame, unlike Molina. How many times have we heard a version of this spin when a St. Louis pitcher has some discomfort or just needs a little time to build himself up in spring training? Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. Halladay and Martinez combined to win five Cy Youngs had more dominant peaks than Wainwright, but their status as first-ballot Hall of Famers serve as evidence the electorate is already modifying its standards for Hall-worthy starting pitchers. Adam Wainwright is not a Hall of Famer yet. What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame The three Cy Young Awards should be enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 28: Adam Wainwright #50 of, the St. Louis Cardinals applauds after a defensive play by Nolan Arenado #28 in the first inning during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 28, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. Adam Wainwright is one of the more curious pitchers in baseball, and a recent thread raised a couple questions to me. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. Updated: Friday, March 3, 2023 11:11 PM ET, Park Factors The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. Its only the normal spring-training grind, building up arm strength, minor inflammation, no reason to think hell have to go on the IL, our trainers feel good about it. Hes certainly on pace for the Hall, but a lot of it will depend on how he can rebound following his off-the-field motorcycle accident. Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina played their final game in the majors, a disappointing 2-0 loss to eliminate them from the Wild Card round. The best-of-three series would not go in the Cardinals' favor, falling 2-0 to the eventual World Series participant. Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look. May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. Flahertys exhibition-season debut was supposed to happen Saturday, but now the assignment has been switched to Sunday. Watch: Cardinals honor Albert Pujols, Adam Wainwright and - FanSided His sinker averaged 84.9 mph, a 3.7 percent decrease from 2022. Injuries have me dubious that Chris Sale will ever accumulate the WAR necessary to reach the Cooperstown threshold, but hes only barely going to be 33 come Opening Day, so Im not closing the book just yet. Adam Wainwright, is probably not a Hall of Famer and his 36.7 JAWS likely shouldn't be used as the new . And right now, he simply isnt there. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. Price (155 wins) is the only active pitcher within 30 wins of Wainwright, with Cueto (135) and Bumgarner (127) much further behind. Sure there are. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Covering the latest and most controversial news around the world of sports, heavily centered on the Philadelphia Eagles and National Football League. As his 136 OPS+ and 26 homers attest, he can still rake even at age 40, but with 443 career dingers, hes two seasons away from reaching 500 (42% odds, via ZiPS). Bernie has hosted radio shows in St. Louis, Dallas, Baltimore and Washington D.C. Bernie, his wife Kirsten and their cats reside in the Skinker-DeBaliviere neighborhood of St. Louis. While Pujols and Molina are guaranteed to enter the Hall of Fame, Wainwright's case is a tricky one to say the least. Were just giving him a little extra time in between appearances to rebound from his first time out. Among the sixty-five (again, the number of Hall of Fame starting pitchers) greatest starting pitchers in history, five are either currently active or retired but not yet Hall eligibleJustin Verlander, Clayton Kershaw, Max Scherzer, Zack Greinke, and CC Sabathia. David Price is older than he seems; hes already 32 in a few months with just 122 career wins. Only Price (2018) and Bumgarner (2019) have pitched enough to qualify for an ERA title once since the 2017 season. Guerrero was seen walking toward the clubhouse with an athletic trainer in the second inning and was replaced defensively by Rainer Nunez to start the third. The contact rate against him on pitches in the strike zone last season 91 percent was the highest against him during his 17-season MLB career. Upon losing in the Wild Card round, the franchise's attention shifted to the offseason and what will happen to some of their aging players. Hall of Stats: Adam Wainwright He went 119-66 with a 2.96 ERA from 2007-15, a span in which only Kershaw had a lower ERA among pitchers with at least 1,000 innings pitched. And while deGromcontinued to blast 100-mph fastball after 100-mph fastball past hitterseven while missing turns here and there due to what were believed (by the Mets, at least) to be minor and disconnected injuries, he finally landed on the IL in early July with forearm inflammation. Adam Wainwright will return for his 19th season with the. It's not the be-all end-all but his baseball reference kind of shows that he really shouldn't make it. For starters, no pitcher can stay that good for that long. Opinion | Is Adam Wainwright a Hall of Famer? - KSDK.com But until we see Jack pitching in games against opposing hitters in game conditions down there in Florida and recovering on time to do it again, and again, and again Ill have to take the wait-and-see approach. Homecoming Kings: After raucous red-coated pomp, Wainwright and O'Neill SwartzSports | The Philadelphia Eagles Blog, SwartzSports | The Philadelphia Eagles Blog, Power Ranking NFLs Top 100 Active Players Prior to 2017, SwartzSports 50 Predictions for the 2022 NFL Season, 2022 SwartzSports First Round Mock Draft (with trades), Ranking the 50 Best Players Not in the Baseball Hall of Fame, Assigning Grades to Key Members of the 2021 Philadelphia Eagles: Part I (Offense), Handing Out Major Awards for 2021 NFL Season, Power Ranking All 235 Major League Players in the Baseball Hall of Fame (Part V: #50-1), Power Ranking All 235 Major League Players in the Baseball Hall of Fame (Part III: #150-101), Power Ranking All 235 Major League Players in the Baseball Hall of Fame (Part II: #200-151), Power Ranking All 235 Major League Players in the Baseball Hall of Fame (Part I: #235-201), Power Ranking All 235 Major League Players in the Baseball Hall of Fame (Part IV: #100-51), Evaluating Hall of Fame Odds for 10 Active Major League Pitchers. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Wainwright was a three time All Star and two time Gold Glove winner, finishing in the top three of the NL Cy Young vote four times. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburgh's Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. Please logout and login again. Will Adam Wainwright make the Hall of Fame? A look at the career of the It happens a lot. He answers the tough question on if his legacy is enough to get him into the MLB Hall of Fame alongside the all-time greats.Follow all our social media channels for more content!https://twitter.com/FoulTerritoryTVhttps://www.instagram.com/foulterritoryshow/https://www.tiktok.com/@foulterritoryshowhttps://www.facebook.com/FoulTerritoryShowhttps://www.twitch.tv/foulterritoryshow This is a veteran, and he knows what he needs to do. He has led the league in strikeouts three times, including a 300-strikeout season in 2018. In that piece, I highlighted 10 position players, some of whom have gained significant ground via JAWS, others who reached major milestones or simply returned to productivity after injury-plagued stretches. I took a look at 10 active starting pitchers with borderline Hall of Fame resumes and broke down their odds of enshrinement. Adam Wainwright 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA 3x All-Star, 2 Gold Gloves, 2 rings Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; he's going to be 36 in a few months and he's logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. I sincerely hope Flaherty is fine and that theres no reason for concern. The greatest lineups ever? But Adam Wainwrights story also isnt complete. Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; hes going to be 36 in a few months and hes logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. The starting pitcher, who will enter his 19th season with the Cards, was drafted by the Atlanta Braves. Its not like hes been injury-prone; Price has led the league in games started three times and innings pitched twice. On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick | 03/02/2023 | MLB.com He probably wont gain much more ground this year even assuming he does return, and as with the pitchers on either side of him in this list, free agency looms, though it seems unthinkable the Dodgers will let him depart. I want to confine my results to the integration era, as, while this whole exercise is based on some level of silliness, I dont think asking Adam Wainwright to win 40 games and pitch 400 innings is particularly fair. "Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires." - Connor Looker Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to. If hes still got the stuff and durability to get to 3,000, the rest of the numbers might fall into place. When the Washington Nationals took Stephen Strasburg first overall in the 2009 draft, he was one of the most hyped prospects in the games history. He was merely a good pitcher on the Detroit Tigers, vastly overshadowed by teammate Justin Verlander. 2nd stage: Everything is still on track. But in evaluating Wainwright by the standards of the modern starting pitchers, he has a path albeit a narrow one that requires him to sustain his late-30s rebirth for at least one and possibly two more seasons that seemed impossible when he was in the midst of an extended sunset phase late in the 2010s. One other thing to note: since my reference point for old WAR and JAWS figures dates back to January 2021, some portion of these players gains may be due to updates to bWAR itself, particularly via changes to 19 and 20 park factors and tweaks to 201720 Defensive Runs Saved that were announced in March, but also due to a second update to 2020 park factors that just went live on Tuesday. Arizona Diamondbacks. Sabathia has largely been a disappointment since signing a nine-figure extension with the team, and he likely wont be retained when his contract expires after this season. Given the way hes been pitching as of late, thats certainly not farfetched. His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. A Hall of Fame-bound pitcher is slated to take the mound in the top of the first inning of tonights NL wild card game. Via his 10 All-Star selections, nine Gold Gloves, two World Series rings, and reputation for handling pitching staffs, Molinas already been anointed presumptive first-ballot honoree status. His 195 career wins have him tied for 132nd all-time, and his career strikeouts currently have him sitting 71st all-time. Or follow @seeingredpod on Twitter for a direct link. Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. The minute Adam Wainwright is eligible, he will easily cruise into the St. Louis Cardinals Hall of Fame, with the only possible road block being if he gets caught in the midst of a logjam with Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina (though if the Cardinals were ever going to make an exception and admit three people in one year, this would seemingly be the case). Wainwright did not factor into the decision, allowing five runs on four hits in four innings. 230-143, 3.70 ERA, 2,788 strikeouts, 117 adjusted ERA. However, not all stories have happy endings. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Eleven of the sixty-five are below Wainwright in terms of Hybrid JAWS. For the last 35 years Bernie Miklasz has entertained, enlightened, and connected with generations of St. Louis sports fans. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. . All Wins Above Replacement and Wins Above Average data comes . Paul Goldschmidt, first base (49.1 career | 40.6 Peak | 44.9 JAWS, +2.2 JAWS). . But if it wasn't for . In his final inning, Wainwright didnt touch higher than 85 mph. His career just does not stack up to that level. King Felix is still just 31 years old, despite close to 2,500 innings on his right arm. Yadier Molina, catcher (58.1 career fWAR (incl. 3rd stage: Well, his arm hasnt rebounded the way we were hoping for, so were just going to shut him down and see how he responds. The two-time NL Cy Young winner began his season by reeling off one of the most amazing runs of any pitcher in recent memory, posting an 0.50 ERA and 0.87 FIP through his first 12 starts. He entered Thursday 16-7 on. . Ill assume that FanGraphss weirdly defensive stance against Wainwrights pursuit of bulletin board material has subsided by then. Cardinals' Wainwright reaches 2,000 career K's. Once Molina has been. Twenty-eight are enshrined in Cooperstown everyone except Wainwright and his fellow active hurlers Scherzer, Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw, the latter trio of whom are expected to glide in Cooperstown, as well as Roger Clemens, Tommy John, Luis Tiant, Jerry Koosman, Rick Reuschel, Kevin Brown and Vida Blue. Write some stories about it! Wainwright said. He leads MLB in complete games this season at the age of 40, and is MLB's active leader in complete games with 27. The best pitcher in MLB? Adam Wainwright: Untimeliness and Unluckiness : r/baseball Adam Wainwright has the second-most WAR of any Cardinals pitcher all-time (44.5). Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburghs Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. One Wainwright is a lot closer to establishing than perhaps even he realizes. The Cardinals and starting pitching and injuries. St. Louis Cardinals: Will Adam Wainwright get a retirement tour? Chapman notched his 300th save on August 26, but hes had an unimpressive season, walking 16.2% of hitters en route to a 3.68 ERA and 4.16, all career worsts. The Cardinals trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, but St. Louis rallied to win its 12th straight, 8-5. Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. Hes endured shoulder miseries and a strained oblique. Astros @ Cardinals. Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped Among those who are retired and eligible for Cooperstown, the 65th greatest starter of all-time is actually a pretty sufficiently big nameDwight Gooden. It airs Monday through Thursday from 3-6 p.m. and Friday from 4-6 p.m. You can listen by streaming online or by downloading the show podcast at 590thefan.com or the 590 app. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. Heres a report on Wainwrights Thursday start against the Astros from The Athletics Katie Woo: The velocity on all five of the pitches in his mix averaged between 3-4 mph slower than their average readings in 2022. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Yadier Molina, though certainly less overwhelming of a candidate than Pujols, is probably going to make it inparticularly with the modern embrace of pitch framing, Molinas defensive reputation has only improved, and his high longevity and peak scores by FanGraphs Wins Above Replacement (which, unlike Baseball Reference, incorporates framing), are well within the normal catcher standards for Cooperstown, even if the rank-and-file voter bestows his candidacy with fewer goat emojis and general fawning than St. Louis does.
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