The Probability of You Existing at All Is Unbelievably Low Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. xx, Lets be social! We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! Do you know the odds of being alive? This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. The chances that they would then get knocked up? So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. The Odds of You Being You - linkedin.com Thats 150,000 generations. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. dr ali binazir odds of being born - manoharinternational.com So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? Maybe that one would have been better. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. dr ali binazir odds of being born. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. June 24, 2022 . The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. But lets make it longer. Its maddening to see people worry so much. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. Are they gross exaggerations? In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. Dr. Ali Binazir - Something To Prove Me neither. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. Then the probability of Mr. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee I hope you use your chance well. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. Whoa. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. Then the probability of Mr. On one try. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. dr ali binazir odds of being born One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? You have lived your life. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Step 3. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. That's 150,000 generations. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born In other words, as this infographic figures it,. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! Part of HuffPost Wellness. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? Step 3. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. The Chances You Were Born - Girl to Mom So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! Which one's bigger? Same to all of us. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. Which one's bigger? Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). That's 150,000 generations. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. But lets think about this some more. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. And worry and fear? Step 1. But on all probability it would. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. This includes personalizing content and advertising. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). Ali Binazir | Armchair Economist And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). Those who are brave (foolish?) Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. 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dr ali binazir odds of being born

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dr ali binazir odds of being born

And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. So what's the probability of your being born? And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. What are the odds of that? Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Suitcases checked and standing side by side. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. A lovely day to you. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. But let's think about this some more. Were all winners in life without doing anything! I would call that a personal relationship with God. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. Want to Read. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Think of yourself as dead. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. Wowser. The Probability of You Existing at All Is Unbelievably Low Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. xx, Lets be social! We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! Do you know the odds of being alive? This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. The chances that they would then get knocked up? So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. The Odds of You Being You - linkedin.com Thats 150,000 generations. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. dr ali binazir odds of being born - manoharinternational.com So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? Maybe that one would have been better. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. dr ali binazir odds of being born. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. June 24, 2022 . The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. But lets make it longer. Its maddening to see people worry so much. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. Are they gross exaggerations? In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. Dr. Ali Binazir - Something To Prove Me neither. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. Then the probability of Mr. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee I hope you use your chance well. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. Whoa. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. Then the probability of Mr. On one try. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. dr ali binazir odds of being born One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? You have lived your life. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Step 3. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. That's 150,000 generations. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born In other words, as this infographic figures it,. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! Part of HuffPost Wellness. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? Step 3. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. The Chances You Were Born - Girl to Mom So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! Which one's bigger? Same to all of us. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. Which one's bigger? Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). That's 150,000 generations. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. But lets think about this some more. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. And worry and fear? Step 1. But on all probability it would. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. This includes personalizing content and advertising. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). Ali Binazir | Armchair Economist And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). Those who are brave (foolish?) Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional.

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